EOSS Balloon Flight Prediction

Saturday October 4th, 2008
Crow Valley Recreation Area, Briggsdale, CO

Confidence Level

See the Text Printout below for date of data acquisition.

Green Track = Ascent
Red Track = Descent
Prediction made with Balloon Track
Maps with MapPoint

Green Track = Ascent
Red Track = Descent
Red Circle = 20 nautical miles from DIA
Yellow Circle = Class B 30 nautical miles from DIA
Prediction made with Balloon Track
Maps with Google Earth

EOSS-132_predict_track.kml

Prediction

Balloon Track for Windows                                Version 1.9.5
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                              Flight Prediction

Saturday, October 04, 2008        eoss-132    GFS-Short_08_10_04_1500Z.dat
6:43:49 AM                    Crow Valley Park                wbaltrak.ini
__________________________________________________________________________

Winds DataFile
-----------------------
        Station: FNL
    Flight Date: 04-Oct-08 15:00
     Model Date: 04-Oct-08 06:00
DataFile Status: Intact 
 Intact Records: 18 
Corrupt Records: 0 

Grid Placement Data
-----------------------
 Reference Site: Int 71-14 West
       Latitude: 40.61025° lat.   
      Longitude: -103.6769° long.
       X_Offset: 20.00
       Y_Offset: 20.00
Grid Origin
       Latitude: 40.32059° lat.   
      Longitude: -104.05845° long.

Launch Site - Crow Valley Park
-----------------------
   Launch Point: 40.64443° lat.   -104.33895° long.
           Grid: X=-14.70 Y=22.36
    Ascent Rate: 1000 feet per minute
   Descent Rate: 1000 feet per minute
       Altitude: 4840 feet

Maximums Enroute
-----------------------
Distance to LOS: 380.9 Mi.
  Maximum Range: 38.9 Mi.
  Maximum Winds: 56.0 mph from 287° at 39,715 feet altitude

Burst Data
-----------------------
    Burst Point: 40.68039° lat.  -103.83966° long.
           Grid: X=11.5 Y=24.8
     Burst Time: 80.2 minutes
 Burst Altitude: 85,000 feet
  Burst Bearing: 84.4°
    Burst Range: 26.3 Mi.

Predicted Landing Site
-----------------------
  Landing Point: 40.70617° lat.  -103.60073° long.
           Grid: X=24.0 Y=26.6
       Altitude: 4500 feet
    Flight Time: 118 Minutes
        Bearing: 83.5° True
          Range: 38.9 Mi.
__________________________________________________________________________

                Bear Rng  EL. Vertical                      Dist. Bearing Range VOR
 Time      Alt   Deg  Mi. Deg   FPM   Latitude  Longitude  to LOS   Mag    NM   ID
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     < 1  4840   54    1   66   1000   40.6444  -104.3389    <1      39    13   GLL
       2  6385   54    1   66   1000   40.6455  -104.3370    53      39    13   GLL
       3  8163   52    1   64   1000   40.6471  -104.3343    78      39    13   GLL
       5 10043   36    1   56   1000   40.6522  -104.3316    97      39    13   GLL
       7 12031   31    1   51   1000   40.6578  -104.3282   114      38    13   GLL
       9 14137   30    2   48   1000   40.6641  -104.3238   130      37    14   GLL
      12 16381   35    2   45   1000   40.6700  -104.3154   145      37    14   GLL
      14 18793   41    3   43   1000   40.6761  -104.3032   159      38    15   GLL
      17 21407   43    4   40   1000   40.6848  -104.2900   173      38    16   GLL
      19 24272   43    5   37   1000   40.6958  -104.2749   188      38    17   GLL
      23 27448   47    6   36   1000   40.7032  -104.2549   202      38    18   GLL
      26 31004   57    7   34   1000   40.7023  -104.2209   218      42    19   GLL
      30 35039   69   10   30   1000   40.6944  -104.1627   234      47    21   GLL
      35 39715   79   13   26   1000   40.6813  -104.0888   251      53    23   GLL
      41 45545   87   18   23   1000   40.6580  -103.9896   271      60    27   GLL
      49 53740   89   22   23   1000   40.6520  -103.9170   297      63    30   GLL
      63 67779   88   25   26   1000   40.6550  -103.8680   337      63    32   GLL
      80 85000   84   26   30   1000   40.6804  -103.8397   381      61    34   GLL
      84 67779   84   27   24  -4507   40.6860  -103.8334   338      61    34   GLL
      88 53740   84   27   18  -3223   40.6870  -103.8182   299      61    35   GLL
      91 45545   84   29   15  -2649   40.6846  -103.7908   273      62    36   GLL
      94 39715   86   31   12  -2304   40.6744  -103.7477   252      64    38   GLL
      96 35039   87   33   10  -2060   40.6680  -103.7119   235     313    39   AKO
      98 31004   88   34    8  -1875   40.6636  -103.6809   219     314    38   AKO
     100 27448   88   36    7  -1731   40.6630  -103.6613   204     315    38   AKO
     102 24272   87   36    6  -1615   40.6675  -103.6489   189     316    37   AKO
     104 21407   87   37    5  -1519   40.6747  -103.6389   175     317    38   AKO
     106 18793   86   37    4  -1438   40.6807  -103.6296   161     318    38   AKO
     108 16381   86   38    3  -1368   40.6851  -103.6206   147     319    38   AKO
     110 14137   85   38    2  -1308   40.6895  -103.6142   132     217    38   SNY
     111 12031   85   38    2  -1254   40.6945  -103.6106   117     217    37   SNY
     113 10043   84   38    1  -1207   40.6992  -103.6077   100     217    37   SNY
     115  8163   84   39    1  -1164   40.7035  -103.6053    81     217    37   SNY
     116  6385   84   39    1  -1125   40.7050  -103.6030    58     217    37   SNY
     118  4500   83   39   -1  -1086   40.7062  -103.6007     1     217    37   SNY


GLL = Gill CO, AKO = Akron CO, SNY = Sidney NE

Notes:

1.) Errors - On rare occasions there are errors noted in the data file downloaded for the prediction. The errors are identified on the server end, not on the Balloon Track processing end. When I see this type of error I will note it in the prediction. If the resulting forecast makes no sense, I'll not post it. But, if the resulting prediction does fit within the parameters of  a series of other predictions I'll probably post it with the warning notation. So, if you see a prediction with a warning tag, consider it suspect but possibly accurate.